May
25Should You Worry When there is A Decline in Home Building
Posted By: Ramon Rivas on May 25, 2010 at 1:38 pmThere is no doubt that there is a decline in home building. This has been reported in the news by the various land developers but should you worry?
If you are looking at the big picture, yes because it has disastrous effects. The country’s GDP or gross domestic product will go down and so will consumer spending. People will be out of work and some businesses may even go bankrupt.
Should construction be your line of work and selling these materials is your business, yes you should also worry because construction firms will not buy the same volume of goods from you since there will not be many people who are willing to buy or build a house right now.
But what if you have a stable job in another industry and think it is time to build your home now? If that is the case, then there is nothing to worry about. If you have the money and want to move to a bigger home, now is the best time to find someone who can help you design, plan and make it come to life.
The reasons for these are simple. A decline in home building has it advantages mainly labor and materials are cheap so you can spend the same amount of money for more things. You won’t have a hard time finding a contractor because they will most likely give you a good deal rather than losing you to someone else which means they don’t have any business.
You should just tell them straight how much is your budget and add an allowance because there may be some unforeseen changes which have to be dealt with later on.
There are two types of unforeseen circumstances in construction. The first is customer generated which means you want something else done. The other is site generated which means there is something on the property that is creating the problem. In the event either of this happens, you have to be ready for it because in construction, everything looks good on paper but things change when people are actually working on it.
If you can’t afford to build a home, you can try to buy one right now because the price of real estate has slumped and this could go even lower. This means you can buy the house of your choice right now because there are a lot of unoccupied homes and people have to move in to them first before construction companies decide to build new ones.
Don’t forget a large number of them that have been foreclosed so there could also be a good bargain over there.
You won’t even consider building a home during a decline in home building or any other time if you did not have excess cash lying around and since that is not a problem, you can now go out there and find a contractor who can do this for you at a reasonable price.
So should you worry when there is a decline in home building? No if you are financially stable but if you are not, then it is time to tighten that belt because if you don’t, you could end up being one of hundreds of people who have lost their homes since last year.
May
15The Construction Industry is not the Only One Badly Hit When There is a Decline in Home Building
Posted By: Ramon Rivas on May 15, 2010 at 2:25 amWorkers are laid off while some construction companies go bankrupt are two things that happen when there is a decline in home building. But if you think that they are the only ones affected, think again because it creates a domino effect.
Aside from those working in the construction company, those who supply the construction materials like the lumber yards and steel mills are also affected because they will not be able to sell that much compared to the last month or even last year which is why they could pose little or no growth at all when it is time to report their corporate earnings.
On a national level, there has been an increase in the number of people who are unemployed which happens to be its highest in 7 years. Just last month, 159,000 people lost their jobs and 22% of them came from the construction industry.
Naturally, such massive job losses will affect consumer spending since people will tighten their belts even further rather than buying something they like from the store.
If a house is going to be built, the homeowner is required to get a permit. This will give him the right to build on the property and is also used by the government an indicator of future building activity. If there is a decline, cities that issue these permits will also lose a certain amount of revenue thus they will not earn that much from construction as they have done so in the past for projects that they plan.
Just to show you how bleak it is, overall permits for the month of September this year in the Midwest, South and West declined by 9.8 percent, 9.9 percent and 12.7 percent, respectively.
The only one who did well was the Northeast after a recent code change in New York City but that just offset the losses it experienced in the two previous months.
These figures are important because housing does contribute to the GDP or gross domestic product of the country and since there is a slump right now, it is only natural that it has a negative effect on the economy.
But what is surprising is the fact that the decline in home building as well as the sale or resale or homes for the first time contributed to the US recession. Back in 2000 to 2001, this was blamed on the burst of the dot-com bubble or the attacks of 9/11.
Although we recovered from that and experienced growth over the 7 year period, some say that this is normal because the recession is part of the business cycle. The economy expands, slows down and then recovers. Yes people will lose jobs and some businesses will go bankrupt.
Should only the strong survive during these trying times? No because the country has experience a recession countless times and some feel that we didn’t learn our lessons from the past which is why we are here again.
Have we learned from our mistakes? Even if the $700 billion bailout plan works, some say no because it is bound to happen again unless radical changes in the system are done. The same goes for the decline in home building because maybe we should have only made homes equal to the demand but that in reality is hard to accomplish.




